Cavalry Brigade Model
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (10 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1030 | 44% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1160 | 919 | 80% | 2022-12-03 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1159 | 45% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1066 | 76% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1220 | 939 | 83% | 2015-06-04 | Won |
| 1263 | 1066 | 76% | 2015-04-18 | Lost |
| 997 | 890 | 65% | 2015-01-22 | Won |
| 967 | 1041 | 40% | 2014-05-03 | Won |
| 1135 | 982 | 71% | 2013-07-02 | Won |
| 974 | 1215 | 20% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1109.3 vs 1030.7 has a 61.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).