Sting of the Italian Hornet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (6 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 22
Defender wins (Italian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1004 | 46% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
| 1022 | 1113 | 37% | 2023-01-21 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1062 | 55% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
| 932 | 1093 | 28% | 2018-04-13 | Won |
| 1188 | 1193 | 49% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 979 | 780 | 76% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1031.8 vs 1040.8 has a 48.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).