Sting of the Italian Hornet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (7 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 22
Defender wins (Italian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 1003 | 42% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
| 999 | 967 | 55% | 2023-01-21 | Lost |
| 1029 | 998 | 54% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
| 922 | 1108 | 26% | 2018-04-13 | Won |
| 1054 | 1063 | 49% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 984 | 755 | 79% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1315 | 1263 | 57% | 2015-07-10 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1035.7 vs 1022.4 has a 51.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).