Sting of the Italian Hornet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (5 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 22
Defender wins (Italian): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 1004 | 43% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
1168 | 1076 | 63% | 2023-01-21 | Lost |
1094 | 992 | 64% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
1093 | 1115 | 47% | 2018-04-13 | Won |
1090 | 1109 | 47% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1079.8 vs 1059.2 has a 52.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).