To Have and To Hold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (9 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (American): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 920 | 968 | 43% | 2024-05-03 | Won |
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2022-10-22 | Won |
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1049 | 76% | 2019-11-24 | Won |
| 831 | 978 | 30% | 2016-05-01 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1141 | 61% | 2015-05-28 | Won |
| 913 | 1094 | 26% | 2013-11-21 | Lost |
| 864 | 1019 | 29% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1017.3 vs 1045.6 has a 45.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).