Semper Paratus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (16 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 21
Defender wins (German): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 980 | 53% | 2022-11-12 | Lost |
| 1100 | 963 | 69% | 2022-07-14 | Won |
| 933 | 1028 | 37% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1176 | 51% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
| 1013 | 964 | 57% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
| 969 | 923 | 57% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 940 | 919 | 53% | 2017-01-04 | Won |
| 1249 | 1022 | 79% | 2016-01-18 | Won |
| 1138 | 916 | 78% | 2013-11-22 | Won |
| 974 | 1055 | 39% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1093 | 38% | 2013-08-09 | Won |
| 969 | 1054 | 38% | 2013-07-01 | Won |
| 1054 | 969 | 62% | 2013-07-01 | Won |
| 1027 | 1249 | 22% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1183 | 1055 | 68% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
| 933 | 800 | 68% | 2013-02-04 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1042.1 vs 1010.4 has a 54.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).