Semper Paratus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (16 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 21
Defender wins (German): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1003 | 980 | 53% | 2022-11-12 | Lost |
1012 | 939 | 60% | 2022-07-14 | Won |
1020 | 1004 | 52% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
990 | 984 | 51% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
1013 | 924 | 63% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
940 | 919 | 53% | 2017-01-04 | Won |
1188 | 1026 | 72% | 2016-01-18 | Won |
1087 | 916 | 73% | 2013-11-22 | Won |
973 | 1058 | 38% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
1005 | 1115 | 35% | 2013-08-09 | Won |
1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2013-07-01 | Won |
1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2013-07-01 | Won |
1013 | 1188 | 27% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
1144 | 1058 | 62% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
959 | 800 | 71% | 2013-02-04 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1036.2 vs 1008.9 has a 53.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).