The Roer Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 993 | 44% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 993 | 953 | 56% | 2025-03-05 | Lost |
| 1123 | 940 | 74% | 2021-11-27 | Won |
| 940 | 1123 | 26% | 2021-11-26 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1196 | 35% | 2021-04-22 | Won |
| 878 | 1103 | 21% | 2020-10-11 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2015-10-17 | Lost |
| 918 | 1073 | 29% | 2014-10-05 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1149 | 42% | 2013-07-14 | Won |
| 998 | 1084 | 38% | 2013-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1020.5 vs 1078.8 has a 41.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).