The Roer Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (American): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1132 | 31% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 1132 | 997 | 69% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 869 | 1187 | 14% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 1187 | 869 | 86% | 2021-11-26 | Won |
| 1218 | 1088 | 68% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
| 1107 | 875 | 79% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2015-10-17 | Won |
| 1099 | 876 | 78% | 2014-10-05 | Won |
| 1148 | 1116 | 55% | 2013-07-14 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1100.1 vs 1043.9 has a 58.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).