The Roer Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (American): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 961 | 55% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 961 | 995 | 45% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 871 | 1194 | 13% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 1194 | 871 | 87% | 2021-11-26 | Won |
| 1196 | 1090 | 65% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
| 1110 | 878 | 79% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-10-17 | Won |
| 1118 | 877 | 80% | 2014-10-05 | Won |
| 1149 | 1064 | 62% | 2013-07-14 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1081.2 vs 1019.7 has a 58.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).