Gallant Mogilev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (10 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1182 | 26% | 2026-03-24 | | Lost |
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2025-03-30 | | Lost |
| 975 | 1097 | 33% | 2024-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2021-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 991 | 53% | 2019-03-15 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1143 | 62% | 2019-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2016-12-10 | | Won |
| 1266 | 1028 | 80% | 2015-07-11 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1108 | 43% | 2014-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2013-04-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1080 vs 1075.7 has a 50.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).