A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (24 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 28
Defender wins (Gurkha): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1050 | 48% | 2024-10-05 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1124 | 76% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1329 | 1124 | 76% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1025 | 954 | 60% | 2023-04-11 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 764 | 1044 | 17% | 2022-08-24 | Lost |
| 879 | 764 | 66% | 2022-08-13 | Tied |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1010 | 935 | 61% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2021-04-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 923 | 54% | 2020-06-07 | Lost |
| 963 | 1138 | 27% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 857 | 1127 | 17% | 2018-05-24 | Lost |
| 764 | 879 | 34% | 2017-11-06 | Won |
| 854 | 998 | 30% | 2016-02-18 | Won |
| 1242 | 964 | 83% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
| 1026 | 1329 | 15% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1268 | 38% | 2014-09-29 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1226 | 30% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
| 1118 | 1090 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1006.5 vs 1058.7 has a 42.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).