A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (24 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 28
Defender wins (Gurkha): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1049 | 48% | 2024-10-05 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1116 | 75% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1310 | 1116 | 75% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1010 | 967 | 56% | 2023-04-11 | Lost |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 767 | 956 | 25% | 2022-08-24 | Lost |
| 877 | 959 | 38% | 2022-08-13 | Tied |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1009 | 934 | 61% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2021-04-04 | Lost |
| 949 | 922 | 54% | 2020-06-07 | Lost |
| 963 | 1137 | 27% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2018-05-24 | Lost |
| 959 | 877 | 62% | 2017-11-06 | Won |
| 852 | 952 | 36% | 2016-02-18 | Won |
| 1264 | 949 | 86% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
| 1026 | 1310 | 16% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1257 | 45% | 2014-09-29 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1223 | 31% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1096 | 52% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
| 1118 | 1117 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1032.1 vs 1061.1 has a 45.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).