Smith & Weston
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (15 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 15
Defender wins (American): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 764 | 82% | 2024-07-19 | Won |
| 1048 | 1001 | 57% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 873 | 1027 | 29% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 1189 | 998 | 75% | 2022-02-22 | Won |
| 964 | 986 | 47% | 2021-09-05 | Won |
| 1010 | 935 | 61% | 2021-08-23 | Lost |
| 898 | 1027 | 32% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 980 | 898 | 62% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
| 877 | 1086 | 23% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1181 | 44% | 2015-06-13 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1037 | 47% | 2014-03-19 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1099 | 42% | 2013-12-07 | Won |
| 1060 | 890 | 73% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1015.5 vs 1005.3 has a 51.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).