Smith & Weston
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (15 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 15
Defender wins (American): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 979 | 57% | 2024-07-19 | Won |
| 1024 | 1020 | 51% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 859 | 1013 | 29% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1034 | 1010 | 53% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 1198 | 963 | 79% | 2022-02-22 | Won |
| 908 | 986 | 39% | 2021-09-05 | Won |
| 1063 | 967 | 63% | 2021-08-23 | Lost |
| 996 | 1021 | 46% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 980 | 996 | 48% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
| 941 | 1103 | 28% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1058 | 62% | 2015-06-13 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2014-03-19 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1099 | 42% | 2013-12-07 | Won |
| 1117 | 891 | 79% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1029.6 vs 1017.4 has a 51.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).