Smith & Weston
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (15 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 15
Defender wins (American): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 959 | 60% | 2024-07-19 | Won |
| 1018 | 1017 | 50% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 889 | 1051 | 28% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 1248 | 968 | 83% | 2022-02-22 | Won |
| 949 | 986 | 45% | 2021-09-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 934 | 61% | 2021-08-23 | Lost |
| 869 | 1027 | 29% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 980 | 869 | 65% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
| 879 | 1087 | 23% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1219 | 39% | 2015-06-13 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2014-03-19 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1111 | 48% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1095 | 42% | 2013-12-07 | Won |
| 1058 | 889 | 73% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1016.3 vs 1018.2 has a 49.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).