Smith & Weston
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (15 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 16
Defender wins (American): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-07-19 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1020 | 50% | 2023-11-14 | | Lost |
| 841 | 999 | 29% | 2023-08-16 | | Won |
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2023-02-24 | | Won |
| 1159 | 944 | 78% | 2022-02-22 | | Won |
| 1126 | 986 | 69% | 2021-09-05 | | Won |
| 1038 | 944 | 63% | 2021-08-23 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1019 | 46% | 2018-08-25 | | Lost |
| 980 | 992 | 48% | 2017-01-25 | | Lost |
| 927 | 1103 | 27% | 2016-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2015-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2014-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2014-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-12-07 | | Won |
| 1147 | 891 | 81% | 2013-11-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1024.7 vs 1008.3 has a 52.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).