Hoepner's Edict
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (14 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (French): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 998 | 49% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1135 | 47% | 2021-08-15 | Lost |
| 1135 | 884 | 81% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1226 | 34% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2017-05-06 | Lost |
| 1011 | 982 | 54% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1006 | 1109 | 36% | 2016-10-23 | Tied |
| 1028 | 1037 | 49% | 2015-03-28 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1098 | 48% | 2014-06-29 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1169 | 58% | 2014-04-26 | Won |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2013-11-01 | Lost |
| 1143 | 905 | 80% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
| 1216 | 1100 | 66% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1174 | 50% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1109.2 vs 1056.4 has a 57.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).