Backs to the Wall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (9 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (British): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2026-03-22 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2017-10-01 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1097 | 54% | 2017-03-31 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1196 | 23% | 2015-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1435 | 994 | 93% | 2015-01-14 | | Won |
| 1032 | 1241 | 23% | 2014-07-26 | | Won |
| 1039 | 953 | 62% | 2014-06-14 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1218 | 34% | 2014-03-16 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-10-12 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1119.3 vs 1072.3 has a 56.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).