End of the Beginning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (10 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 28
Defender wins (British): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 1110 | 27% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 831 | 1189 | 11% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1091 | 56% | 2019-10-23 | Won |
| 1068 | 1058 | 51% | 2019-04-14 | Won |
| 1063 | 1049 | 52% | 2015-05-05 | Won |
| 1121 | 1127 | 49% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2014-10-20 | Lost |
| 1152 | 885 | 82% | 2014-07-05 | Lost |
| 999 | 1141 | 31% | 2014-04-16 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1103 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1036.9 vs 1085.9 has a 42.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).