Smashing the Hook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (20 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 48
Defender wins (Japanese): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2024-05-20 | Lost |
| 1064 | 998 | 59% | 2022-06-27 | Won |
| 1032 | 977 | 58% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1124 | 38% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 903 | 870 | 55% | 2019-10-02 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1098 | 55% | 2019-08-15 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1049 | 50% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
| 1052 | 975 | 61% | 2019-02-27 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1109 | 78% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 1158 | 1001 | 71% | 2015-03-16 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1159 | 50% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2015-01-26 | Lost |
| 1138 | 943 | 75% | 2015-01-10 | Lost |
| 932 | 916 | 52% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2014-07-08 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1087.2 vs 1051.8 has a 55.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).