Smashing the Hook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (23 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 29
Defender wins (Japanese): 62
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2024-05-20 | Lost |
| 1073 | 976 | 64% | 2022-06-27 | Won |
| 1037 | 977 | 59% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1223 | 28% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 902 | 941 | 44% | 2019-10-02 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1072 | 59% | 2019-08-15 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1049 | 49% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
| 1045 | 960 | 62% | 2019-02-27 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1283 | 21% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1338 | 42% | 2016-06-23 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1125 | 68% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 1235 | 1059 | 73% | 2015-03-16 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1171 | 59% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1283 | 17% | 2015-02-05 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1088 | 65% | 2015-01-26 | Lost |
| 1138 | 943 | 75% | 2015-01-10 | Lost |
| 975 | 917 | 58% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1098 | 1125 | 46% | 2014-07-08 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1101.4 vs 1096.9 has a 50.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).