Smashing the Hook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (23 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 29
Defender wins (Japanese): 62
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2024-05-20 | Lost |
| 1023 | 963 | 59% | 2022-06-27 | Won |
| 1046 | 977 | 60% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1222 | 28% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 903 | 941 | 45% | 2019-10-02 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2019-08-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 1048 | 41% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
| 983 | 960 | 53% | 2019-02-27 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1264 | 23% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1338 | 40% | 2016-06-23 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1129 | 65% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 1167 | 1059 | 65% | 2015-03-16 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1171 | 49% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1264 | 18% | 2015-02-05 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1110 | 62% | 2015-01-26 | Lost |
| 1138 | 943 | 75% | 2015-01-10 | Lost |
| 996 | 917 | 61% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1134 | 1129 | 51% | 2014-07-08 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1087.4 vs 1095.3 has a 48.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).