Smashing the Hook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (British): 4
Defender wins (Japanese): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2024-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 1164 | 34% | 2024-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 944 | 63% | 2022-06-27 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2019-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1044 | 63% | 2019-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2016-07-31 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 2016-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1134 | 62% | 2015-04-18 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1052 | 69% | 2015-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2015-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1169 | 53% | 2015-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1263 | 18% | 2015-02-05 | | Lost |
| 1187 | 1126 | 59% | 2015-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2015-01-10 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2014-11-07 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1134 | 52% | 2014-07-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1099.1 vs 1065.4 has a 54.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).