Fontenay By Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (13 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 20
Defender wins (German (SS)): 28
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1165 | 1084 | 61% | 2026-06-19 | Won |
| 1031 | 1015 | 52% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
| 1094 | 914 | 74% | 2020-07-22 | Won |
| 1076 | 1161 | 38% | 2019-11-29 | Lost |
| 993 | 1029 | 45% | 2018-02-25 | Lost |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2017-12-05 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1109 | 42% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 969 | 1123 | 29% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 961 | 930 | 54% | 2016-05-21 | Won |
| 1007 | 1146 | 31% | 2016-05-20 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 1175 | 983 | 75% | 2015-03-10 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1063.5 vs 1042.4 has a 53.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).