City on the Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (19 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (American): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 937 | 61% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 964 | 890 | 60% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 1154 | 998 | 71% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 927 | 1106 | 26% | 2025-01-08 | Won |
| 1051 | 1050 | 50% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
| 890 | 1073 | 26% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1043 | 54% | 2022-02-24 | Won |
| 934 | 1131 | 24% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1180 | 29% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1041 | 1256 | 22% | 2021-11-21 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1041 | 78% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 898 | 1025 | 32% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1127 | 1127 | 50% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1151 | 46% | 2020-10-21 | Won |
| 1333 | 1000 | 87% | 2017-03-10 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 1078 | 1123 | 44% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1030 | 1103 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1054.8 vs 1075.9 has a 46.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).