City on the Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (19 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1156 | 31% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 991 | 940 | 57% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 1175 | 1060 | 66% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 965 | 1102 | 31% | 2025-01-08 | Won |
| 1084 | 1046 | 55% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
| 940 | 1082 | 31% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1119 | 996 | 67% | 2022-02-24 | Won |
| 1031 | 1143 | 34% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 972 | 1218 | 20% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1004 | 1182 | 26% | 2021-11-21 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1004 | 74% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 900 | 1023 | 33% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1109 | 1142 | 45% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1126 | 49% | 2020-10-21 | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2017-03-10 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 1030 | 1048 | 47% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1017 | 1079 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1052.7 vs 1081.8 has a 45.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).