An Estonian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (12 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Estonian): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1172 | 1142 | 54% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
1008 | 975 | 55% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
1104 | 982 | 67% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
959 | 939 | 53% | 2015-05-17 | Lost |
1300 | 1156 | 70% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
1046 | 1245 | 24% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
1099 | 1083 | 52% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
1068 | 917 | 70% | 2015-02-06 | Lost |
1050 | 986 | 59% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
1032 | 887 | 70% | 2014-10-10 | Won |
1008 | 1058 | 43% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
982 | 1108 | 33% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1069 vs 1039.8 has a 54.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).