An Estonian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (20 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Estonian): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 1094 | 39% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 893 | 1218 | 13% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1081 | 1011 | 60% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1073 | 55% | 2021-11-29 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1159 | 51% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1102 | 931 | 73% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1055 | 66% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 891 | 939 | 43% | 2015-05-17 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1012 | 80% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
| 1072 | 1245 | 27% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1065 | 54% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 1071 | 908 | 72% | 2015-02-06 | Lost |
| 938 | 952 | 48% | 2015-02-01 | Lost |
| 1059 | 997 | 59% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
| 1015 | 1140 | 33% | 2014-10-11 | Lost |
| 1011 | 891 | 67% | 2014-10-10 | Won |
| 1098 | 1147 | 43% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 971 | 1086 | 34% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1060.5 vs 1049.2 has a 51.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).