An Estonian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (20 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Estonian): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 892 | 1204 | 14% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1044 | 1012 | 55% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1064 | 59% | 2021-11-29 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1115 | 56% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1181 | 961 | 78% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1039 | 68% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 998 | 938 | 59% | 2015-05-17 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1012 | 86% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
| 1098 | 1244 | 30% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1036 | 58% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 1067 | 907 | 72% | 2015-02-06 | Lost |
| 938 | 949 | 48% | 2015-02-01 | Lost |
| 1057 | 996 | 59% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
| 1015 | 1152 | 31% | 2014-10-11 | Lost |
| 1011 | 890 | 67% | 2014-10-10 | Won |
| 1060 | 1149 | 37% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 971 | 1118 | 30% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1070 vs 1044.9 has a 53.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).