An Estonian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (20 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Estonian): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1105 | 33% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 893 | 1218 | 13% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1081 | 1011 | 60% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1041 | 60% | 2021-11-29 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1173 | 49% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1117 | 977 | 69% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1058 | 975 | 62% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1055 | 66% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 910 | 939 | 46% | 2015-05-17 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1012 | 80% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
| 1072 | 1245 | 27% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1027 | 60% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 1071 | 908 | 72% | 2015-02-06 | Lost |
| 938 | 985 | 43% | 2015-02-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 997 | 59% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
| 1015 | 1140 | 33% | 2014-10-11 | Lost |
| 1011 | 891 | 67% | 2014-10-10 | Won |
| 1117 | 1147 | 46% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 971 | 1075 | 35% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1056.1 vs 1047.7 has a 51.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).