Operation Kutuzov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (17 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1039 | 50% | 2024-06-16 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1112 | 44% | 2022-02-10 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1086 | 43% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 845 | 967 | 33% | 2020-05-27 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1085 | 1184 | 36% | 2017-10-26 | Won |
| 973 | 1216 | 20% | 2017-03-02 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1180 | 40% | 2016-12-03 | Won |
| 1249 | 1338 | 37% | 2016-10-31 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1140 | 57% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1201 | 46% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1020 | 61% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
| 1274 | 1011 | 82% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1274 | 1000 | 83% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1107 | 1055 | 57% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
| 1219 | 973 | 80% | 2014-12-16 | Won |
| 1226 | 1046 | 74% | 2014-11-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1129.2 vs 1102.5 has a 53.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).