Poteau Party
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (13 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (American): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1051 | 36% | 2025-12-30 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2025-12-06 | Tied |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 978 | 1010 | 45% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1018 | 59% | 2024-02-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-10-15 | Won |
| 1085 | 1196 | 35% | 2019-04-03 | Lost |
| 1151 | 739 | 91% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 1206 | 953 | 81% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1226 | 24% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 953 | 1113 | 28% | 2015-10-04 | Lost |
| 958 | 1067 | 35% | 2015-01-19 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1007 | 65% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1049.4 vs 1039.1 has a 51.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).