Poteau Party
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (10 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (American): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 978 | 1036 | 42% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1019 | 59% | 2024-02-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-10-15 | Won |
| 1088 | 1248 | 28% | 2019-04-03 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1223 | 43% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1132 | 32% | 2015-10-04 | Lost |
| 963 | 1066 | 36% | 2015-01-19 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1003 | 66% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1071.2 vs 1084.7 has a 48.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).