Poteau Party
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (14 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (American): 30
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2026-06-21 | A | Lost |
| 1107 | 1055 | 57% | 2025-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-12-06 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2025-05-24 | | Lost |
| 990 | 1080 | 37% | 2024-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1028 | 48% | 2024-02-29 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-10-15 | | Won |
| 1092 | 1152 | 41% | 2019-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2016-04-21 | | Won |
| 1208 | 1000 | 77% | 2015-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2015-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2015-10-04 | | Lost |
| 960 | 1071 | 35% | 2015-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1051.5 vs 1037.3 has a 52.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).