Poteau Party
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (14 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (American): 29
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 1046 | 47% | 2026-06-21 | Lost |
| 1055 | 976 | 61% | 2025-12-30 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2025-12-06 | Tied |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 989 | 1077 | 38% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1028 | 49% | 2024-02-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-10-15 | Won |
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2019-04-03 | Lost |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 1174 | 1069 | 65% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1226 | 28% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1143 | 40% | 2015-10-04 | Lost |
| 960 | 1071 | 35% | 2015-01-19 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1006 | 63% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1058.6 vs 1044.8 has a 51.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).