Arctic Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (19 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (Finnish): 23
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1191 | 1012 | 74% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2023-05-21 | Won |
| 1191 | 993 | 76% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 948 | 1191 | 20% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1073 | 1205 | 32% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 1191 | 26% | 2023-02-04 | Won |
| 1182 | 1254 | 40% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 1152 | 1191 | 44% | 2020-04-30 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1032 | 47% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2018-04-01 | Won |
| 1093 | 1090 | 50% | 2017-12-18 | Won |
| 1112 | 1216 | 35% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1216 | 30% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
| 1156 | 957 | 76% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2016-12-28 | Won |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2016-09-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1094.8 vs 1116.1 has a 46.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).