Arctic Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (18 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (Finnish): 22
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1112 | 48% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 991 | 1012 | 47% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1078 | 59% | 2023-05-21 | Won |
| 991 | 994 | 50% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 949 | 991 | 44% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1051 | 1105 | 42% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 991 | 53% | 2023-02-04 | Won |
| 1256 | 1256 | 50% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 1185 | 991 | 75% | 2020-04-30 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1052 | 43% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1014 | 61% | 2018-04-01 | Won |
| 1093 | 1203 | 35% | 2017-12-18 | Won |
| 1163 | 1219 | 42% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1219 | 39% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
| 1013 | 960 | 58% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2016-12-28 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2016-09-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1072.4 vs 1073.8 has a 49.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).