Arctic Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (Finnish): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1006 | 1013 | 49% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
1006 | 952 | 58% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
924 | 1006 | 38% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
1018 | 1167 | 30% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
1010 | 1006 | 51% | 2023-02-04 | Won |
1153 | 1260 | 35% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2020-04-30 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
1094 | 1109 | 48% | 2017-12-18 | Won |
1146 | 1284 | 31% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
1006 | 961 | 56% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2016-09-06 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1031.7 vs 1065.8 has a 45.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).