Arctic Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (19 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (Finnish): 23
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1086 | 1079 | 51% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 991 | 1012 | 47% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1109 | 47% | 2023-05-21 | Won |
| 991 | 993 | 50% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1074 | 1186 | 34% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 991 | 53% | 2023-02-04 | Won |
| 1256 | 1254 | 50% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2020-04-30 | Lost |
| 986 | 1057 | 40% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2018-04-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 1079 | 52% | 2017-12-18 | Won |
| 1191 | 1217 | 46% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1217 | 44% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
| 1023 | 959 | 59% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2016-12-28 | Won |
| 1338 | 1283 | 58% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2016-09-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1090.3 vs 1091.5 has a 49.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).