The Only Way Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (7 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 8
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2024-04-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 933 | 72% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
| 1228 | 991 | 80% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1084 | 958 | 67% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1098 | 39% | 2015-11-16 | Won |
| 1066 | 1065 | 50% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1104.4 vs 1017.6 has a 62.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).