Anabasis
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (14 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Finnish): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1057 | 40% | 2024-11-09 | Won |
| 1157 | 1177 | 47% | 2024-05-27 | Won |
| 1066 | 1083 | 48% | 2023-12-03 | Won |
| 1054 | 995 | 58% | 2023-09-18 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1074 | 66% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1256 | 1023 | 79% | 2021-10-23 | Won |
| 1260 | 980 | 83% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1051 | 969 | 62% | 2021-02-24 | Won |
| 1303 | 1037 | 82% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 879 | 980 | 36% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
| 970 | 1038 | 40% | 2016-04-16 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1089 | 43% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1123 | 1005 | 66% | 2015-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1100.9 vs 1049.7 has a 57.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).