Anabasis
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (13 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Finnish): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2024-11-09 | D | Won |
| 1171 | 1152 | 53% | 2024-05-27 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2023-12-03 | | Won |
| 1001 | 1058 | 42% | 2023-09-18 | D | Lost |
| 1202 | 1073 | 68% | 2023-03-08 | | Won |
| 1284 | 1119 | 72% | 2021-10-23 | | Won |
| 1039 | 962 | 61% | 2021-02-24 | | Won |
| 1329 | 1050 | 83% | 2019-04-20 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2018-11-10 | | Won |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2017-02-25 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1038 | 40% | 2016-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2015-07-05 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1005 | 66% | 2015-01-15 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1087.1 vs 1040.7 has a 56.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).