Anabasis
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (14 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Finnish): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 1097 | 31% | 2024-11-09 | Won |
| 1159 | 1134 | 54% | 2024-05-27 | Won |
| 1077 | 1083 | 49% | 2023-12-03 | Won |
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2023-09-18 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1073 | 70% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1224 | 1001 | 78% | 2021-10-23 | Won |
| 1215 | 963 | 81% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1039 | 962 | 61% | 2021-02-24 | Won |
| 1313 | 999 | 86% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 879 | 963 | 38% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
| 970 | 1038 | 40% | 2016-04-16 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1120 | 1005 | 66% | 2015-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1102.9 vs 1033.3 has a 59.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).