Lagus Assault Guns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 128 (30 on the archive and 98 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (Finnish): 87
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 3
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (Finnish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2024-12-20 | Won |
| 1165 | 1046 | 66% | 2024-03-16 | Won |
| 966 | 1063 | 36% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 893 | 861 | 55% | 2021-07-23 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1012 | 78% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1189 | 35% | 2018-10-13 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1113 | 54% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
| 1064 | 1117 | 42% | 2018-03-12 | Won |
| 1117 | 1064 | 58% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 984 | 1158 | 27% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
| 1216 | 969 | 81% | 2017-12-03 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1053 | 46% | 2017-08-05 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1095 | 65% | 2017-06-12 | Lost |
| 974 | 1077 | 36% | 2017-01-08 | Lost |
| 967 | 1027 | 41% | 2016-09-30 | Lost |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2016-05-05 | Won |
| 1097 | 1159 | 41% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
| 898 | 958 | 41% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 852 | 893 | 44% | 2015-12-07 | Lost |
| 983 | 989 | 49% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 862 | 1117 | 19% | 2015-05-27 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1190 | 43% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 897 | 1040 | 31% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2015-04-14 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1019 | 54% | 2015-04-04 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1131 | 34% | 2015-04-04 | Lost |
| 967 | 957 | 51% | 2015-03-12 | Won |
| 1165 | 1201 | 45% | 2015-02-05 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1120 | 54% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 1036 | 1017 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1046.4 vs 1052.8 has a 49.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).