Lagus Assault Guns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 125 (29 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 35
Defender wins (Finnish): 87
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 3
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (Finnish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1034 | 47% | 2024-12-20 | Won |
| 1209 | 904 | 85% | 2024-03-16 | Won |
| 924 | 1009 | 38% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 980 | 864 | 66% | 2021-07-23 | Lost |
| 1309 | 1156 | 71% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1013 | 52% | 2018-10-13 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1157 | 46% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
| 1218 | 1118 | 64% | 2018-03-12 | Won |
| 1118 | 1218 | 36% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 928 | 1158 | 21% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
| 1216 | 925 | 84% | 2017-12-03 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1044 | 52% | 2017-08-05 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1108 | 63% | 2017-06-12 | Lost |
| 976 | 1065 | 37% | 2017-01-08 | Lost |
| 999 | 1011 | 48% | 2016-09-30 | Lost |
| 1219 | 890 | 87% | 2016-05-05 | Won |
| 1061 | 1153 | 37% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
| 896 | 958 | 41% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 853 | 980 | 32% | 2015-12-07 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1166 | 35% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 861 | 1039 | 26% | 2015-05-27 | Lost |
| 885 | 1097 | 23% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2015-04-14 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1203 | 31% | 2015-04-04 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1029 | 58% | 2015-04-04 | Lost |
| 999 | 958 | 56% | 2015-03-12 | Won |
| 1209 | 1204 | 51% | 2015-02-05 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1110 | 56% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 1140 | 1028 | 66% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1063 vs 1055.8 has a 51.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).