Nothing Ventured
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (15 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 23
Defender wins (Japanese): 25
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1009 | 57% | 2024-01-16 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1113 | 57% | 2023-12-27 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1011 | 73% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1148 | 825 | 87% | 2022-11-17 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1233 | 42% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1021 | 927 | 63% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1065 | 1010 | 58% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1022 | 966 | 58% | 2017-07-30 | Won |
| 856 | 1113 | 19% | 2017-07-06 | Lost |
| 1078 | 861 | 78% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1078 | 890 | 75% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1094 | 56% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1072 | 54% | 2015-11-05 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1029 | 64% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1086.8 vs 1018.1 has a 59.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).