Nothing Ventured
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (13 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
1169 | 1144 | 54% | 2023-12-27 | Lost |
1109 | 870 | 80% | 2022-11-17 | Lost |
1142 | 1227 | 38% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
1093 | 780 | 86% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
1046 | 1083 | 45% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
1006 | 974 | 55% | 2017-07-30 | Won |
1006 | 1144 | 31% | 2017-07-06 | Lost |
989 | 861 | 68% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
989 | 887 | 64% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
1137 | 1094 | 56% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
1092 | 1049 | 56% | 2015-11-05 | Lost |
1121 | 1087 | 55% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1063.4 vs 1015.8 has a 56.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).