Nothing Ventured
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (14 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 18
Defender wins (Japanese): 29
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2024-01-16 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1143 | 53% | 2023-12-27 | Lost |
| 1193 | 844 | 88% | 2022-11-17 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1232 | 34% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1011 | 899 | 66% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1065 | 1037 | 54% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 967 | 966 | 50% | 2017-07-30 | Won |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2017-07-06 | Lost |
| 1060 | 861 | 76% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1060 | 890 | 73% | 2016-11-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1094 | 56% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2015-11-05 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1074 | 58% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1078.7 vs 1028.5 has a 57.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).