Mopping Up
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (5 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 878 | 949 | 40% | 2021-08-10 | Tied |
| 1012 | 1034 | 47% | 2020-12-25 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1235 | 33% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1022 | 949 | 60% | 2019-01-22 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1152 | 57% | 2016-11-19 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1044.8 vs 1063.8 has a 47.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).