Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (16 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 949 | 55% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 991 | 53% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1226 | 32% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1066 | 55% | 2020-08-26 | Won |
| 1228 | 991 | 80% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 992 | 53% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 977 | 1140 | 28% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 952 | 930 | 53% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 891 | 1103 | 23% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1171 | 58% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1176 | 44% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1218 | 891 | 87% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1051 | 1140 | 37% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
| 1065 | 969 | 63% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1062.3 vs 1056.5 has a 50.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).