Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (16 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 953 | 54% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 741 | 82% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 937 | 1256 | 14% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1099 | 50% | 2020-08-26 | Won |
| 1145 | 741 | 91% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1021 | 50% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 979 | 1152 | 27% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 967 | 930 | 55% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 927 | 1017 | 37% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1171 | 58% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1142 | 49% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1220 | 890 | 87% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1052 | 1152 | 36% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
| 1028 | 969 | 58% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1049.8 vs 1022.6 has a 53.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).