Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (16 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 947 | 55% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1195 | 26% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 955 | 1206 | 19% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1066 | 55% | 2020-08-26 | Won |
| 1167 | 1195 | 46% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1015 | 985 | 54% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 961 | 1140 | 26% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 930 | 58% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 884 | 1102 | 22% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1175 | 57% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1190 | 42% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1219 | 890 | 87% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 969 | 57% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1051 | 1140 | 37% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1048.2 vs 1080.4 has a 45.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).