Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (14 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 929 | 58% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1008 | 959 | 57% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 949 | 1257 | 15% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1092 | 50% | 2020-08-26 | Won |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1023 | 1021 | 50% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1032 | 47% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 959 | 930 | 54% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 952 | 899 | 58% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1161 | 59% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1141 | 49% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 889 | 81% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1036 | 984 | 57% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1053 vs 1025.9 has a 53.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).