Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (11 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
984 | 954 | 54% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
1011 | 983 | 54% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
987 | 1175 | 25% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
959 | 896 | 59% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
1225 | 1140 | 62% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
1106 | 1197 | 37% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
1350 | 887 | 93% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
1083 | 958 | 67% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1062 vs 1020.4 has a 55.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).