Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (16 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 941 | 56% | 2021-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2021-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1129 | 1289 | 28% | 2020-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2020-08-26 | | Won |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2018-01-16 | | Won |
| 957 | 1084 | 32% | 2017-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1012 | 989 | 53% | 2017-03-25 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1141 | 26% | 2016-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2016-02-15 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1000 | 45% | 2016-01-31 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1000 | 37% | 2016-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1215 | 52% | 2015-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1230 | 21% | 2015-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 891 | 65% | 2015-10-06 | | Won |
| 1076 | 959 | 66% | 2015-10-06 | | Won |
| 1052 | 1141 | 37% | 2015-10-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1029.1 vs 1067.3 has a 44.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).