Death on the Eismeer Strasse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (18 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 1108 | 32% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1108 | 39% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 978 | 1108 | 32% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1108 | 39% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1011 | 58% | 2024-10-30 | Won |
| 1080 | 909 | 73% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1266 | 33% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 982 | 1070 | 38% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
| 1021 | 999 | 53% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
| 1027 | 931 | 63% | 2019-07-21 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1136 | 55% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1203 | 31% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
| 890 | 983 | 37% | 2016-02-24 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1309 | 47% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
| 1039 | 927 | 66% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2015-08-03 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1049.5 vs 1077.4 has a 46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).