Death on the Eismeer Strasse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (12 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1197 | 1327 | 32% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
980 | 1069 | 37% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
1032 | 1006 | 54% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
998 | 929 | 60% | 2019-07-21 | Lost |
1128 | 1095 | 55% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
1006 | 1144 | 31% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
889 | 992 | 36% | 2016-02-24 | Lost |
1287 | 1307 | 47% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
989 | 928 | 59% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
917 | 1017 | 36% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
1284 | 980 | 85% | 2015-08-03 | Lost |
980 | 1284 | 15% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1057.3 vs 1089.8 has a 45.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).