Death on the Eismeer Strasse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (19 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
997 | 1100 | 36% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
997 | 1100 | 36% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
1049 | 982 | 60% | 2024-10-30 | Won |
1114 | 949 | 72% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
1151 | 1242 | 37% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
982 | 1069 | 38% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
1022 | 949 | 60% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
1032 | 931 | 64% | 2019-07-21 | Lost |
1152 | 1218 | 41% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
949 | 1143 | 25% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
889 | 1046 | 29% | 2016-02-24 | Lost |
1285 | 1329 | 44% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
1060 | 927 | 68% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
907 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
1219 | 982 | 80% | 2015-08-03 | Lost |
982 | 1219 | 20% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1053.8 vs 1082.4 has a 45.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).