Catching the Bear
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (3 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1106 | 1087 | 53% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2022-09-16 | Lost |
| 989 | 1189 | 24% | 2017-01-21 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1014.7 vs 1106.7 has a 37.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).