A Quick Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (27 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 54
Defender wins (Japanese): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1062 | 43% | 2026-02-13 | Won |
| 1046 | 1220 | 27% | 2026-02-13 | Won |
| 1220 | 999 | 78% | 2025-09-30 | Won |
| 941 | 989 | 43% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 997 | 1220 | 22% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 1053 | 884 | 73% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 1263 | 993 | 83% | 2024-12-14 | Won |
| 1019 | 1092 | 40% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1028 | 1029 | 50% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
| 755 | 1088 | 13% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1134 | 40% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 969 | 1121 | 29% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 932 | 967 | 45% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1049 | 1015 | 55% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 1066 | 979 | 62% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 938 | 979 | 44% | 2020-03-22 | Won |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1080 | 913 | 72% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
| 1143 | 1003 | 69% | 2017-09-24 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2016-11-12 | Won |
| 974 | 1027 | 42% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1102 | 36% | 2016-10-07 | Won |
| 1141 | 1313 | 27% | 2016-10-04 | Won |
| 890 | 1135 | 20% | 2016-06-01 | Won |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2016-02-14 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2016-02-14 | Won |
| 1036 | 780 | 81% | | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1038.7 vs 1048.1 has a 48.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).