Sealing Their Fate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German (SS)): 23
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1196 | 1126 | 60% | 2025-08-09 | Won |
| 1043 | 1015 | 54% | 2025-08-08 | Won |
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1134 | 39% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 981 | 1021 | 44% | 2022-09-08 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1073 | 64% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1026 | 46% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 1112 | 958 | 71% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 861 | 1079 | 22% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 892 | 982 | 37% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1315 | 1333 | 47% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1117 | 51% | 2016-03-05 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1107 | 37% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1053.4 vs 1083 has a 45.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).