Sealing Their Fate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German (SS)): 23
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1148 | 49% | 2025-08-09 | Won |
| 907 | 1015 | 35% | 2025-08-08 | Won |
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1123 | 40% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 980 | 1043 | 41% | 2022-09-08 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1058 | 60% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 947 | 1027 | 39% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1036 | 947 | 63% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 1112 | 951 | 72% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 861 | 1065 | 24% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 891 | 982 | 37% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1315 | 1333 | 47% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 924 | 1131 | 23% | 2016-03-05 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1106 | 37% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1023.9 vs 1082 has a 41.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).