Sealing Their Fate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (14 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German (SS)): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1116 | 39% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 986 | 956 | 54% | 2022-09-08 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1053 | 62% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 949 | 1026 | 39% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1044 | 949 | 63% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 1109 | 903 | 77% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 861 | 1058 | 24% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 891 | 982 | 37% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1314 | 1310 | 51% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2016-03-05 | Lost |
| 892 | 1087 | 25% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1029 vs 1055 has a 46.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).