Sealing Their Fate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 18
Defender wins (German (SS)): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1182 | 1149 | 55% | 2025-08-09 | Won |
| 941 | 1033 | 37% | 2025-08-08 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1064 | 49% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 966 | 1048 | 38% | 2022-09-08 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1042 | 60% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1111 | 1314 | 24% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 965 | 1027 | 41% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 988 | 965 | 53% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 1102 | 909 | 75% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 861 | 1060 | 24% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 891 | 982 | 37% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1315 | 1314 | 50% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 961 | 1143 | 26% | 2016-03-05 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1086 | 40% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1029.7 vs 1074.2 has a 43.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).