Sealing Their Fate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (19 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (German (SS)): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1028 | 50% | 2025-08-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1167 | 51% | 2025-08-09 | Won |
| 996 | 982 | 52% | 2025-08-08 | Won |
| 913 | 913 | 50% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
| 1229 | 1264 | 45% | 2023-08-04 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1023 | 55% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 967 | 999 | 45% | 2022-09-08 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1079 | 61% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 954 | 1028 | 40% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1053 | 954 | 64% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1108 | 71% | 2018-08-05 | Won |
| 1127 | 988 | 69% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 862 | 1134 | 17% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 893 | 982 | 37% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1318 | 1234 | 62% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 982 | 1131 | 30% | 2016-03-05 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1102 | 37% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.4 vs 1068.3 has a 48.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).