Sealing Their Fate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (18 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 24
Defender wins (German (SS)): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1186 | 1147 | 56% | 2025-08-09 | Won |
| 971 | 1032 | 41% | 2025-08-08 | Won |
| 904 | 904 | 50% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 962 | 975 | 48% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1250 | 42% | 2023-08-04 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1109 | 43% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 981 | 991 | 49% | 2022-09-08 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1056 | 67% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1135 | 1274 | 31% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1026 | 54% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 975 | 1056 | 39% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 1250 | 1108 | 69% | 2018-08-05 | Won |
| 1112 | 950 | 72% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 862 | 1100 | 20% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 892 | 982 | 37% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1315 | 1274 | 56% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 984 | 1125 | 31% | 2016-03-05 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1103 | 37% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1057.1 vs 1081.2 has a 46.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).