Sealing Their Fate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (13 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 15
Defender wins (German (SS)): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
999 | 999 | 50% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
989 | 1025 | 45% | 2022-09-08 | Lost |
1147 | 1002 | 70% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
1089 | 1302 | 23% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
977 | 1030 | 42% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
946 | 977 | 46% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
934 | 977 | 44% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
1086 | 947 | 69% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
872 | 917 | 44% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
894 | 997 | 36% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
1315 | 1302 | 52% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
959 | 1106 | 30% | 2016-03-05 | Lost |
891 | 1080 | 25% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1007.5 vs 1050.8 has a 43.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).