Heart of Athena
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 22
Defender wins (Partisans): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 880 | 61% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 866 | 928 | 41% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 878 | 983 | 35% | 2019-02-10 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 1011 | 1094 | 38% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
| 1146 | 1124 | 53% | 2017-05-17 | Won |
| 975 | 983 | 49% | 2016-09-09 | Won |
| 1029 | 1120 | 37% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 907 | 1156 | 19% | 2016-06-25 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1227 | 41% | 2016-03-20 | Won |
| 940 | 965 | 46% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 996.4 vs 1041.8 has a 43.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).