Old Friends
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (24 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 50
Defender wins (German): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 954 | 50% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
1043 | 1087 | 44% | 2024-03-08 | Lost |
1176 | 1168 | 51% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
865 | 780 | 62% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
1168 | 1225 | 42% | 2019-08-22 | Lost |
1087 | 1065 | 53% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
1028 | 1063 | 45% | 2018-12-20 | Tied |
1068 | 850 | 78% | 2018-08-20 | Won |
1045 | 961 | 62% | 2018-03-17 | Lost |
925 | 917 | 51% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
1307 | 1061 | 80% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
965 | 1049 | 38% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
1242 | 1012 | 79% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2016-12-29 | Won |
1225 | 1106 | 66% | 2016-12-09 | Lost |
1095 | 838 | 81% | 2016-09-19 | Won |
961 | 1284 | 13% | 2016-08-30 | Lost |
1109 | 890 | 78% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
1105 | 1156 | 43% | 2016-06-27 | Won |
989 | 1051 | 41% | 2016-05-03 | Lost |
1108 | 893 | 78% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
1050 | 992 | 58% | 2016-04-28 | Lost |
897 | 977 | 39% | 2016-04-07 | Lost |
1068 | 1197 | 32% | 2014-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1071 vs 1031.1 has a 55.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).