Old Friends
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (28 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 55
Defender wins (German): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1029 | 51% | 2024-03-08 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1135 | 56% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1013 | 52% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 866 | 927 | 41% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1226 | 23% | 2019-08-22 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1063 | 45% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1082 | 1063 | 53% | 2018-12-20 | Tied |
| 980 | 1151 | 27% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1067 | 896 | 73% | 2018-08-20 | Won |
| 1065 | 959 | 65% | 2018-03-17 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1075 | 68% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1419 | 39% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 961 | 1072 | 35% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
| 1216 | 984 | 79% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-12-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2016-12-09 | Lost |
| 1110 | 980 | 68% | 2016-09-19 | Won |
| 1196 | 1085 | 65% | 2016-09-01 | Lost |
| 939 | 1217 | 17% | 2016-08-30 | Lost |
| 1123 | 940 | 74% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1012 | 62% | 2016-06-27 | Won |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2016-06-03 | Won |
| 1100 | 1020 | 61% | 2016-05-03 | Lost |
| 1073 | 898 | 73% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1047 | 52% | 2016-04-28 | Lost |
| 893 | 898 | 49% | 2016-04-07 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1144 | 43% | 2014-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1081.6 vs 1056.1 has a 53.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).