Ceramic City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (19 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2025-03-26 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2024-03-04 | | Won |
| 1273 | 995 | 83% | 2024-02-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2022-04-09 | | Won |
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-04-01 | | Lost |
| 917 | 1007 | 37% | 2020-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1149 | 32% | 2019-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2019-02-23 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1008 | 43% | 2018-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2017-09-10 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 952 | 75% | 2017-05-07 | | Lost |
| 925 | 938 | 48% | 2017-04-01 | | Won |
| 1092 | 1149 | 42% | 2017-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1062 | 44% | 2017-02-09 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1008 | 45% | 2017-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1205 | 25% | 2016-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1053 | 1048 | 51% | 2016-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-07-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1031.3 vs 1035.4 has a 49.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).