Ceramic City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (20 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 29
Defender wins (Polish): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1088 | 56% | 2025-03-26 | Lost |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1182 | 29% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1225 | 987 | 80% | 2024-02-13 | Won |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
| 906 | 1021 | 34% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1057 | 46% | 2019-10-15 | Lost |
| 993 | 1018 | 46% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1160 | 58% | 2019-01-13 | Lost |
| 977 | 1046 | 40% | 2018-08-16 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1009 | 77% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 925 | 937 | 48% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 1073 | 1057 | 52% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1052 | 45% | 2017-02-09 | Lost |
| 974 | 991 | 48% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1226 | 24% | 2016-10-10 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1031 | 50% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1044 | 58% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1051.3 vs 1046.4 has a 50.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).