Ceramic City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (20 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 29
Defender wins (Polish): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1100 | 54% | 2025-03-26 | Lost |
| 910 | 925 | 48% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1182 | 37% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1256 | 1041 | 78% | 2024-02-13 | Won |
| 1014 | 1065 | 43% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 1123 | 24% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1156 | 36% | 2019-10-15 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1018 | 56% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1020 | 70% | 2019-01-13 | Lost |
| 954 | 1051 | 36% | 2018-08-16 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1118 | 64% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 1153 | 990 | 72% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 927 | 938 | 48% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 1091 | 1156 | 41% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 991 | 1050 | 42% | 2017-02-09 | Lost |
| 974 | 960 | 52% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1142 | 32% | 2016-10-10 | Lost |
| 959 | 1079 | 33% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1039 | 48% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1039.2 vs 1057.9 has a 47.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).