Ceramic City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (14 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 26
Defender wins (Polish): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1194 | 1182 | 52% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
1153 | 937 | 78% | 2024-02-13 | Won |
911 | 1006 | 37% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
992 | 1055 | 41% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2019-01-13 | Lost |
971 | 1087 | 34% | 2018-08-16 | Lost |
1242 | 1118 | 67% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
1198 | 948 | 81% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
977 | 961 | 52% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
1003 | 1108 | 35% | 2017-02-09 | Lost |
973 | 1003 | 46% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
1026 | 1197 | 27% | 2016-10-10 | Lost |
1006 | 1021 | 48% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
1083 | 1089 | 49% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1046.7 vs 1051.3 has a 49.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).