Ceramic City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (20 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1107 | 53% | 2025-03-26 | Lost |
| 910 | 925 | 48% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1182 | 36% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1192 | 1024 | 72% | 2024-02-13 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
| 920 | 1064 | 30% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1196 | 32% | 2019-10-15 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1019 | 56% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
| 1182 | 961 | 78% | 2019-01-13 | Lost |
| 961 | 1052 | 37% | 2018-08-16 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1118 | 64% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1027 | 64% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 998 | 938 | 59% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 1090 | 1196 | 35% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 991 | 1118 | 32% | 2017-02-09 | Lost |
| 974 | 987 | 48% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1146 | 31% | 2016-10-10 | Lost |
| 965 | 1079 | 34% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1079 | 44% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1040.2 vs 1063.3 has a 46.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).