Ceramic City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (20 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 29
Defender wins (Polish): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1102 | 54% | 2025-03-26 | Lost |
| 911 | 925 | 48% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1182 | 38% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1281 | 1024 | 81% | 2024-02-13 | Won |
| 1203 | 1089 | 66% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 1103 | 26% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1203 | 29% | 2019-10-15 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1018 | 55% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1031 | 72% | 2019-01-13 | Lost |
| 940 | 1052 | 34% | 2018-08-16 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1118 | 64% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 1174 | 930 | 80% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 885 | 939 | 42% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 1203 | 35% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 991 | 1080 | 37% | 2017-02-09 | Lost |
| 974 | 1009 | 45% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1147 | 34% | 2016-10-10 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1042 | 44% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1029 | 46% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1051.3 vs 1061.5 has a 48.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).