Killer Carp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (10 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Polish): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2024-04-06 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1289 | 14% | 2024-01-02 | A | Won |
| 864 | 1059 | 25% | 2023-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2021-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1150 | 33% | 2020-12-31 | | Won |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-08-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 904 | 63% | 2020-06-04 | | Won |
| 1147 | 952 | 75% | 2017-07-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2016-08-05 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2016-06-21 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 982.7 vs 1053.8 has a 39.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).