Engineering Defeat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (37 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (Polish): 54
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 755 | 978 | 22% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2025-05-11 | Lost |
| 951 | 974 | 47% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 1098 | 1098 | 50% | 2024-05-13 | Won |
| 1001 | 1092 | 37% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 897 | 1141 | 20% | 2023-10-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1015 | 55% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
| 970 | 951 | 53% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 970 | 951 | 53% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 1037 | 40% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1106 | 38% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1109 | 48% | 2022-04-05 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1089 | 39% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1044 | 53% | 2021-09-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 1099 | 40% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 984 | 1208 | 22% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1152 | 36% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 993 | 1220 | 21% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
| 927 | 864 | 59% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 997 | 49% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1152 | 990 | 72% | 2019-10-07 | Won |
| 1112 | 1112 | 50% | 2019-05-19 | Won |
| 1040 | 878 | 72% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1127 | 68% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1105 | 1074 | 54% | 2018-10-19 | Won |
| 1051 | 954 | 64% | 2017-12-01 | Won |
| 1153 | 990 | 72% | 2017-07-23 | Won |
| 903 | 990 | 38% | 2017-07-16 | Won |
| 1220 | 982 | 80% | 2017-03-13 | Won |
| 1031 | 1028 | 50% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1092 | 997 | 63% | 2016-07-12 | Won |
| 1124 | 1058 | 59% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1092 | 65% | 2016-05-13 | Won |
| 1017 | 927 | 63% | 2012-12-27 | Won |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Won |
| 1104 | 1030 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1039.5 vs 1041.3 has a 49.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).