Engineering Defeat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (37 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (Polish): 54
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 755 | 978 | 22% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 990 | 1019 | 46% | 2025-05-11 | Lost |
| 958 | 944 | 52% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 1108 | 1108 | 50% | 2024-05-13 | Won |
| 1001 | 1100 | 36% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 895 | 1135 | 20% | 2023-10-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1032 | 53% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
| 970 | 951 | 53% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 970 | 951 | 53% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 1024 | 42% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1122 | 36% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1113 | 48% | 2022-04-05 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1013 | 57% | 2021-09-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 1098 | 40% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 988 | 1216 | 21% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1189 | 32% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 993 | 1217 | 22% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
| 930 | 864 | 59% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 980 | 51% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1151 | 989 | 72% | 2019-10-07 | Won |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2019-05-19 | Won |
| 1040 | 878 | 72% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1126 | 68% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1105 | 1075 | 54% | 2018-10-19 | Won |
| 1029 | 930 | 64% | 2017-12-01 | Won |
| 1154 | 972 | 74% | 2017-07-23 | Won |
| 903 | 972 | 40% | 2017-07-16 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2017-03-13 | Won |
| 1031 | 1010 | 53% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1100 | 980 | 67% | 2016-07-12 | Won |
| 1139 | 1059 | 61% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1100 | 65% | 2016-05-13 | Won |
| 1014 | 930 | 62% | 2012-12-27 | Won |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Won |
| 1117 | 1047 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1045.5 vs 1038.9 has a 50.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).