Engineering Defeat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (37 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (Polish): 54
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 755 | 984 | 21% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 993 | 1025 | 45% | 2025-05-11 | Lost |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 1017 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-05-13 | Won |
| 1001 | 974 | 54% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 900 | 1208 | 15% | 2023-10-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 982 | 60% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
| 970 | 950 | 53% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 970 | 950 | 53% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 1035 | 999 | 55% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1120 | 36% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 974 | 1131 | 29% | 2022-04-05 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 999 | 59% | 2021-09-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 1094 | 41% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 995 | 1220 | 21% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1170 | 32% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 994 | 1218 | 22% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
| 884 | 863 | 53% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 984 | 51% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1141 | 989 | 71% | 2019-10-07 | Won |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2019-05-19 | Won |
| 1043 | 878 | 72% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1121 | 64% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1116 | 1080 | 55% | 2018-10-19 | Won |
| 969 | 1009 | 44% | 2017-12-01 | Won |
| 1123 | 968 | 71% | 2017-07-23 | Won |
| 902 | 968 | 41% | 2017-07-16 | Won |
| 1218 | 982 | 80% | 2017-03-13 | Won |
| 1033 | 1018 | 52% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 974 | 984 | 49% | 2016-07-12 | Won |
| 1143 | 1060 | 62% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
| 1158 | 974 | 74% | 2016-05-13 | Won |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2012-12-27 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1027 vs 1024.9 has a 50.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).