A Wave Breaking with the Tide
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Polish): 6
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1106 | 1108 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Won |
| 1204 | 1077 | 68% | 2024-04-08 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1120 | 37% | 2022-06-30 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-07-31 | Won |
| 863 | 980 | 34% | 2021-01-17 | Won |
| 1009 | 1011 | 50% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 1028 | 1157 | 32% | 2018-12-02 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1110 | 41% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1061 | 49% | 2016-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1025.7 vs 1079.4 has a 42.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).