The Spearhead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 14
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1176 | 1051 | 67% | 2024-12-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
| 754 | 1213 | 7% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
| 943 | 1218 | 17% | 2019-10-18 | Lost |
| 993 | 1113 | 33% | 2019-06-02 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1216 | 37% | 2018-05-20 | Lost |
| 1131 | 953 | 74% | 2016-06-27 | Lost |
| 1031 | 980 | 57% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 920 | 997 | 39% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1008.2 vs 1080.4 has a 39.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).