Le Manoir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (22 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
988 | 949 | 56% | 2025-05-14 | Won |
954 | 984 | 46% | 2024-07-08 | Lost |
1030 | 993 | 55% | 2024-02-08 | Won |
740 | 960 | 22% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
892 | 892 | 50% | 2023-08-01 | Won |
967 | 1124 | 29% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
987 | 892 | 63% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
954 | 1058 | 35% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
939 | 909 | 54% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
987 | 992 | 49% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
1192 | 992 | 76% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
1173 | 992 | 74% | 2021-03-15 | Won |
992 | 931 | 59% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
864 | 935 | 40% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
854 | 998 | 30% | 2020-02-14 | Won |
1009 | 1152 | 31% | 2019-10-17 | Lost |
1032 | 936 | 63% | 2019-08-13 | Lost |
904 | 949 | 44% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
974 | 1010 | 45% | 2017-01-21 | Lost |
1090 | 1010 | 61% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2016-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 977.3 vs 989.7 has a 48.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).