Le Manoir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (21 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 1000 | 44% | 2024-07-08 | Lost |
| 1030 | 924 | 65% | 2024-02-08 | Won |
| 789 | 957 | 28% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
| 900 | 900 | 50% | 2023-08-01 | Won |
| 966 | 1116 | 30% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
| 987 | 848 | 69% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 952 | 1082 | 32% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 939 | 896 | 56% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
| 987 | 1016 | 46% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1016 | 73% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 1173 | 1016 | 71% | 2021-03-15 | Won |
| 1016 | 931 | 62% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 864 | 924 | 41% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 852 | 966 | 34% | 2020-02-14 | Won |
| 1009 | 1152 | 31% | 2019-10-17 | Lost |
| 1050 | 936 | 66% | 2019-08-13 | Lost |
| 903 | 949 | 43% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 973 | 1032 | 42% | 2017-01-21 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1032 | 58% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1223 | 22% | 2016-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 981.2 vs 990.9 has a 48.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).