Le Manoir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (22 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 27
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 967 | 50% | 2025-05-14 | Won |
| 954 | 984 | 46% | 2024-07-08 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1009 | 53% | 2024-02-08 | Won |
| 754 | 960 | 23% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
| 873 | 873 | 50% | 2023-08-01 | Won |
| 967 | 1135 | 28% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
| 987 | 881 | 65% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 953 | 1123 | 27% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 939 | 951 | 48% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
| 987 | 1041 | 42% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1041 | 77% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 1173 | 1041 | 68% | 2021-03-15 | Won |
| 1041 | 931 | 65% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 864 | 942 | 39% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 854 | 927 | 40% | 2020-02-14 | Won |
| 1009 | 1130 | 33% | 2019-10-17 | Lost |
| 1026 | 936 | 63% | 2019-08-13 | Lost |
| 904 | 949 | 44% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 973 | 937 | 55% | 2017-01-21 | Lost |
| 1090 | 937 | 71% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2016-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 981 vs 991.5 has a 48.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).