The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (35 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (American): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1050 | 44% | 2025-10-19 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1050 | 44% | 2025-10-19 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1040 | 51% | 2025-05-09 | Won |
| 1088 | 1122 | 45% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1248 | 39% | 2025-01-07 | Lost |
| 967 | 845 | 67% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 941 | 935 | 51% | 2024-02-29 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
| 985 | 937 | 57% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 959 | 1049 | 37% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1035 | 52% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1425 | 1431 | 49% | 2022-11-18 | Lost |
| 1004 | 954 | 57% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
| 1081 | 1004 | 61% | 2022-01-31 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
| 878 | 1064 | 26% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1243 | 20% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1004 | 80% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 1024 | 48% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 888 | 879 | 51% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 975 | 1045 | 40% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 985 | 967 | 53% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 989 | 980 | 51% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 985 | 1044 | 42% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2019-03-05 | Won |
| 1102 | 1035 | 60% | 2018-09-20 | Won |
| 1179 | 1087 | 63% | 2018-03-19 | Won |
| 1024 | 1144 | 33% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1098 | 48% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 860 | 982 | 33% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 881 | 982 | 36% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1040.2 has a 50.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).