The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (35 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (American): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 1078 | 40% | 2025-10-19 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1078 | 40% | 2025-10-19 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1040 | 51% | 2025-05-09 | Won |
| 1088 | 1122 | 45% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1165 | 56% | 2025-01-07 | Lost |
| 966 | 844 | 67% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 941 | 935 | 51% | 2024-02-29 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1046 | 50% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 875 | 984 | 35% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
| 988 | 937 | 57% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 959 | 1046 | 38% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1035 | 52% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1425 | 1431 | 49% | 2022-11-18 | Lost |
| 999 | 954 | 56% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
| 1080 | 999 | 61% | 2022-01-31 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
| 896 | 1064 | 28% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 999 | 1221 | 22% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1221 | 999 | 78% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 983 | 54% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 888 | 884 | 51% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1040 | 954 | 62% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 989 | 984 | 51% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 988 | 1047 | 42% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1012 | 71% | 2019-03-05 | Won |
| 1064 | 1035 | 54% | 2018-09-20 | Won |
| 1203 | 1060 | 69% | 2018-03-19 | Won |
| 983 | 1143 | 28% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1117 | 46% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 860 | 982 | 33% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 881 | 982 | 36% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1040 vs 1035.5 has a 50.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).