The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (36 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (American): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1082 | 40% | 2025-10-19 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1082 | 40% | 2025-10-19 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2025-05-09 | | Won |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2025-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1188 | 1192 | 49% | 2025-01-07 | | Lost |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2025-01-03 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2024-02-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2024-01-02 | | Won |
| 865 | 984 | 34% | 2023-10-10 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-08-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2023-07-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2023-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2022-11-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-11-18 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2022-08-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2022-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-02-01 | | Won |
| 1080 | 996 | 62% | 2022-01-31 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2022-01-29 | | Lost |
| 922 | 1066 | 30% | 2022-01-23 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1211 | 22% | 2022-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1211 | 996 | 78% | 2022-01-05 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1055 | 43% | 2021-09-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2021-06-19 | | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2021-02-13 | | Won |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-05-05 | | Won |
| 989 | 969 | 53% | 2020-04-14 | | Won |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2019-03-05 | | Won |
| 1075 | 1035 | 56% | 2018-09-20 | | Won |
| 1241 | 1059 | 74% | 2018-03-19 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2017-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1147 | 42% | 2016-10-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2016-10-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2016-10-03 | | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1035.3 vs 1045.6 has a 48.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).