The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (34 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (American): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-10-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-05-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-01-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-02-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-11-18 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-01-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1027 | 46% | 2019-03-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-09-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-03-19 | Won |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 988 | 1000 | 48% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1005.6 vs 1004.9 has a 50.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).