Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (27 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 26
Defender wins (German): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
998 | 1017 | 47% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
1009 | 1058 | 43% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
1116 | 1090 | 54% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
1015 | 1058 | 44% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
1078 | 1083 | 49% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
998 | 1035 | 45% | 2022-08-28 | Won |
959 | 998 | 44% | 2022-08-13 | Lost |
858 | 982 | 33% | 2022-08-05 | Lost |
998 | 942 | 58% | 2022-05-15 | Won |
949 | 959 | 49% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
990 | 984 | 51% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
1040 | 1013 | 54% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
1144 | 1173 | 46% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
1427 | 1429 | 50% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
892 | 919 | 46% | 2020-04-19 | Won |
1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2019-11-06 | Lost |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2019-03-05 | Won |
1187 | 1108 | 61% | 2019-02-26 | Lost |
1037 | 1104 | 40% | 2018-05-17 | Lost |
885 | 898 | 48% | 2018-02-12 | Won |
1104 | 1109 | 49% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
1115 | 1047 | 60% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2017-09-21 | Won |
1013 | 1020 | 49% | 2017-04-29 | Won |
906 | 949 | 44% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
898 | 1018 | 33% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
1092 | 1058 | 55% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1029.3 vs 1055.3 has a 46.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).