Ace in the Hole
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (13 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1061 | 43% | 2026-04-08 | | Lost |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2026-03-18 | A | Won |
| 966 | 1103 | 31% | 2025-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1241 | 20% | 2024-06-15 | | Won |
| 699 | 990 | 16% | 2022-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1051 | 62% | 2022-02-17 | | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2022-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2021-03-05 | | Won |
| 962 | 1134 | 27% | 2020-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 966 | 55% | 2020-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 987 | 62% | 2017-12-19 | | Won |
| 1123 | 1118 | 51% | 2017-04-28 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2016-09-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1020.5 vs 1055.2 has a 45.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).