Ace in the Hole
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (10 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1346 | 1289 | 58% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 740 | 986 | 20% | 2022-03-14 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1010 | 65% | 2022-02-17 | Won |
| 967 | 986 | 47% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 949 | 1113 | 28% | 2020-10-07 | Lost |
| 976 | 998 | 47% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1193 | 938 | 81% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1128 | 1150 | 47% | 2017-04-28 | Lost |
| 970 | 1128 | 29% | 2016-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1054 vs 1060.8 has a 49.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).