Hunters from the Sky
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (15 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1040 | 56% | 2026-04-19 | Won |
| 942 | 1045 | 36% | 2026-03-26 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2026-03-15 | Won |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2024-10-27 | Won |
| 1059 | 991 | 60% | 2024-09-09 | Won |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 954 | 933 | 53% | 2022-03-12 | Won |
| 944 | 1089 | 30% | 2021-10-03 | Lost |
| 1219 | 991 | 79% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2020-11-27 | Won |
| 1172 | 932 | 80% | 2020-09-04 | Won |
| 1164 | 1010 | 71% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 933 | 947 | 48% | 2020-04-08 | Won |
| 991 | 879 | 66% | 2018-11-11 | Won |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1024.1 vs 995.9 has a 54.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).