De Zwarte Duivels
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch): 25
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2025-11-03 | Won |
| 1037 | 1088 | 43% | 2024-12-25 | Won |
| 1018 | 1023 | 49% | 2024-04-14 | Lost |
| 1014 | 988 | 54% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1089 | 53% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 952 | 1081 | 32% | 2020-06-08 | Won |
| 1064 | 1037 | 54% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 975 | 1079 | 35% | 2018-10-11 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1109 | 47% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1123 | 1252 | 32% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 938 | 1180 | 20% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2017-06-21 | Won |
| 1260 | 980 | 83% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1183 | 1140 | 56% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1047 vs 1087.8 has a 44.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).