De Zwarte Duivels
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (14 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch): 24
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1100 | 41% | 2024-12-25 | Won |
| 1061 | 937 | 67% | 2024-04-14 | Lost |
| 1015 | 987 | 54% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1123 | 44% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 967 | 1151 | 26% | 2020-06-08 | Won |
| 1063 | 1202 | 31% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 954 | 1203 | 19% | 2018-10-11 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1078 | 56% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1125 | 1333 | 23% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 938 | 1210 | 17% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 741 | 1131 | 10% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 741 | 1131 | 10% | 2017-06-21 | Won |
| 1145 | 741 | 91% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1180 | 1152 | 54% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1012 vs 1105.6 has a 36.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).