De Zwarte Duivels
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch): 25
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1014 | 51% | 2025-11-03 | Won |
| 1037 | 1102 | 41% | 2024-12-25 | Won |
| 1028 | 971 | 58% | 2024-04-14 | Lost |
| 1015 | 987 | 54% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1093 | 53% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 957 | 1110 | 29% | 2020-06-08 | Won |
| 1063 | 1204 | 31% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 940 | 1194 | 19% | 2018-10-11 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1117 | 47% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1125 | 1340 | 22% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 938 | 1216 | 17% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1117 | 37% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1025 | 1117 | 37% | 2017-06-21 | Won |
| 1204 | 1025 | 74% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1180 | 1151 | 54% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1051.2 vs 1117.2 has a 40.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).