De Zwarte Duivels
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (14 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch): 26
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1107 | 40% | 2024-12-25 | Won |
| 1014 | 969 | 56% | 2024-04-14 | Lost |
| 1033 | 987 | 57% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1064 | 59% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 974 | 1163 | 25% | 2020-06-08 | Won |
| 1062 | 1182 | 33% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 961 | 1186 | 21% | 2018-10-11 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1125 | 1329 | 24% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 938 | 1242 | 15% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 969 | 1143 | 27% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 969 | 1143 | 27% | 2017-06-21 | Won |
| 1158 | 969 | 75% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1180 | 1152 | 54% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1043.7 vs 1126 has a 38.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).