De Zwarte Duivels
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Dutch): 9
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-11-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2024-12-25 | | Won |
| 1093 | 1101 | 49% | 2024-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2024-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1004 | 49% | 2023-08-26 | | Won |
| 957 | 1136 | 26% | 2020-06-08 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-02-20 | | Won |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2018-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2018-07-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2018-05-04 | | Lost |
| 939 | 1138 | 24% | 2017-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2017-06-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2017-06-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2016-11-02 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1000.9 vs 1077.9 has a 39.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).