Belgian Blitzkrieg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (28 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 37
Defender wins (German): 66
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
924 | 1058 | 32% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
780 | 865 | 38% | 2021-03-16 | Lost |
1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2020-08-23 | Lost |
1057 | 1156 | 36% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
1057 | 1156 | 36% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
903 | 991 | 38% | 2020-02-10 | Lost |
1008 | 1083 | 39% | 2019-02-09 | Lost |
1317 | 1026 | 84% | 2018-06-21 | Lost |
1115 | 1040 | 61% | 2017-08-29 | Lost |
1030 | 1024 | 51% | 2017-08-26 | Lost |
1013 | 1020 | 49% | 2017-08-19 | Won |
895 | 1094 | 24% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
1030 | 976 | 58% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
982 | 984 | 50% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2017-07-22 | Won |
1129 | 992 | 69% | 2017-06-15 | Won |
1129 | 992 | 69% | 2017-06-15 | Won |
1008 | 982 | 54% | 2017-05-27 | Won |
1008 | 982 | 54% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
1058 | 1144 | 38% | 2017-04-27 | Lost |
1142 | 1052 | 63% | 2017-04-23 | Won |
1104 | 916 | 75% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
1008 | 1138 | 32% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
1300 | 1093 | 77% | 2017-03-29 | Won |
1083 | 1008 | 61% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
990 | 984 | 51% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
1004 | 1020 | 48% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1037.6 vs 1040 has a 49.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).