Belgian Blitzkrieg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 119 (38 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 75
Defender wins (Belgian ): 42
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian ): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 940 | 51% | 2025-02-19 | Won |
| 1094 | 1073 | 53% | 2025-01-29 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1232 | 42% | 2025-01-02 | Lost |
| 1172 | 975 | 76% | 2024-12-27 | Won |
| 1018 | 1150 | 32% | 2024-12-24 | Won |
| 991 | 948 | 56% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 865 | 904 | 44% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 1173 | 1035 | 69% | 2020-08-23 | Won |
| 1172 | 1064 | 65% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1172 | 1064 | 65% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 990 | 892 | 64% | 2020-02-10 | Won |
| 1065 | 1006 | 58% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1028 | 1170 | 31% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
| 1150 | 1283 | 32% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 1039 | 1108 | 40% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 1024 | 1081 | 42% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1019 | 985 | 55% | 2017-08-19 | Lost |
| 1057 | 897 | 72% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 978 | 1081 | 36% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 1078 | 964 | 66% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1149 | 39% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1149 | 39% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-05-27 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1073 | 69% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-04-29 | Won |
| 1134 | 991 | 69% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1111 | 1159 | 43% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 930 | 1102 | 27% | 2017-04-22 | Won |
| 1157 | 1252 | 37% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 2017-03-29 | Won |
| 1006 | 1065 | 42% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 991 | 1235 | 20% | 2017-03-07 | Won |
| 1078 | 953 | 67% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1023 | 53% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1123 | 1023 | 64% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1066.7 vs 1062.5 has a 50.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).