Belgian Blitzkrieg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (37 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 74
Defender wins (Belgian ): 42
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian ): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 957 | 49% | 2025-02-19 | Won |
| 1044 | 1064 | 47% | 2025-01-29 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1268 | 28% | 2025-01-02 | Lost |
| 1142 | 932 | 77% | 2024-12-27 | Won |
| 1044 | 1144 | 36% | 2024-12-24 | Won |
| 764 | 946 | 26% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 866 | 900 | 45% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 1174 | 1035 | 69% | 2020-08-23 | Won |
| 1142 | 1062 | 61% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1142 | 1062 | 61% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 990 | 892 | 64% | 2020-02-10 | Won |
| 1036 | 1004 | 55% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1008 | 1242 | 21% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
| 1040 | 1096 | 42% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 1024 | 1082 | 42% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1020 | 909 | 65% | 2017-08-19 | Lost |
| 1087 | 897 | 75% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 978 | 1082 | 35% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 964 | 966 | 50% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1149 | 36% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1149 | 36% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-05-27 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1064 | 70% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-04-29 | Won |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1104 | 1115 | 48% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 882 | 1181 | 15% | 2017-04-22 | Won |
| 1096 | 1329 | 21% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1060 | 57% | 2017-03-29 | Won |
| 1004 | 1036 | 45% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 764 | 1158 | 9% | 2017-03-07 | Won |
| 964 | 1020 | 42% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1107 | 1013 | 63% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1031.7 vs 1046.5 has a 47.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).