Castles on the Horizon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (13 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (British): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2024-08-15 | | Won |
| 1134 | 907 | 79% | 2022-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1129 | 1023 | 65% | 2022-07-16 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2021-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 967 | 55% | 2021-08-17 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-04-30 | | Won |
| 955 | 1000 | 44% | 2020-02-29 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1012 | 66% | 2019-06-01 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1041 | 76% | 2017-10-20 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1036 | 65% | 2017-10-05 | | Won |
| 983 | 1343 | 11% | 2017-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 940 | 61% | 2017-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-03-29 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1066 vs 1034.1 has a 54.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).