Castles on the Horizon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (10 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (British): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1104 | 916 | 75% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
865 | 780 | 62% | 2021-08-17 | Won |
1175 | 1092 | 62% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
938 | 966 | 46% | 2020-02-29 | Lost |
984 | 990 | 49% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
1008 | 1087 | 39% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
1040 | 959 | 61% | 2017-05-01 | Lost |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2017-03-29 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1028.2 vs 1003.5 has a 53.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).