Bolder Than Before
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (19 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian/Russian (NKVD)): 28
Defender wins (Partisan (Ukrainian)): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2026-06-07 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1028 | 50% | 2026-02-26 | | Won |
| 1243 | 989 | 81% | 2025-10-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2022-05-06 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2022-03-09 | | Won |
| 1140 | 977 | 72% | 2022-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2022-01-26 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-11-10 | | Won |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2021-01-02 | | Lost |
| 966 | 980 | 48% | 2020-04-26 | | Won |
| 1121 | 1000 | 67% | 2020-04-22 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1135 | 62% | 2020-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1128 | 992 | 69% | 2019-05-01 | | Won |
| 1081 | 1147 | 41% | 2018-08-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2018-04-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2017-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2017-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 1156 | 35% | 2017-02-20 | | Won |
| 1220 | 1275 | 42% | 2017-01-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1076.1 vs 1055 has a 53.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).