The Krinkelterwald
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (14 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1037 | 47% | 2024-10-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2024-06-23 | | Lost |
| 987 | 891 | 63% | 2024-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-07-05 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2021-07-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2020-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2019-12-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2019-03-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2019-03-22 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1055 | 40% | 2018-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2018-04-07 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1098 | 56% | 2018-03-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2017-10-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 1023.3 has a 50.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).