The Block on the Trail to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (11 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (Japanese): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 999 | 54% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1184 | 1051 | 68% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 907 | 1066 | 29% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
| 979 | 1040 | 41% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1076 | 49% | 2019-02-09 | Lost |
| 1045 | 931 | 66% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 928 | 1098 | 27% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 930 | 1102 | 27% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 978 | 1088 | 35% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1098 | 1147 | 43% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1024.6 vs 1059.4 has a 45.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).