The Block on the Trail to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (11 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (Japanese): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1004 | 45% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1193 | 1051 | 69% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 906 | 1066 | 28% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
| 979 | 1040 | 41% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1076 | 49% | 2019-02-09 | Lost |
| 983 | 992 | 49% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 928 | 1117 | 25% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 920 | 1054 | 32% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 978 | 1110 | 32% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1117 | 1167 | 43% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1015.1 vs 1066.6 has a 42.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).