The Block on the Trail to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (11 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (Japanese): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 996 | 62% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1193 | 1051 | 69% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 918 | 1099 | 26% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
| 978 | 925 | 58% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1076 | 52% | 2019-02-09 | Lost |
| 1051 | 954 | 64% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 927 | 1065 | 31% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 872 | 1203 | 13% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 963 | 1151 | 25% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1065 | 1148 | 38% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1022.6 vs 1064.3 has a 44.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).