Red Tears Shed on Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (23 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 51
Defender wins (Russian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 932 | 54% | 2025-07-25 | Won |
| 1096 | 1191 | 37% | 2025-07-25 | Won |
| 1023 | 1220 | 24% | 2025-07-25 | Won |
| 1167 | 1018 | 70% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1029 | 1191 | 28% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 956 | 999 | 44% | 2024-02-09 | Won |
| 843 | 999 | 29% | 2024-01-03 | Won |
| 1065 | 1080 | 48% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1131 | 938 | 75% | 2022-02-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 891 | 68% | 2020-08-29 | Won |
| 890 | 1040 | 30% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 1328 | 1343 | 48% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1023 | 65% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1046 | 910 | 69% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1167 | 35% | 2018-04-27 | Won |
| 1029 | 1058 | 46% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2018-03-07 | Lost |
| 976 | 1134 | 29% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1019 | 958 | 59% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
| 933 | 1146 | 23% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1160 | 69% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
| 1111 | 1158 | 43% | 2017-12-27 | Lost |
| 1129 | 997 | 68% | 2017-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1061.6 vs 1077.7 has a 47.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).