Ghostly Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-08-26 | | Lost |
| 965 | 1000 | 45% | 2023-04-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2023-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1229 | 1017 | 77% | 2020-10-22 | | Won |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2020-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2019-06-15 | | Won |
| 1014 | 999 | 52% | 2018-06-24 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1218 | 29% | 2018-02-16 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1073.8 vs 1026.3 has a 56.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).