The Battle of Mali Spadarit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 9
Defender wins (Greek): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 1100 | 57% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 767 | 1029 | 18% | 2020-07-29 | Lost |
| 1008 | 991 | 52% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 940 | 1154 | 23% | 2019-11-10 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1381 | 21% | 2019-11-06 | Lost |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1078 | 55% | 2018-07-07 | Won |
| 1062 | 1310 | 19% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1043.1 vs 1126.6 has a 38.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).