A Small Stack and a Schnapps
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (12 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 21
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1130 | 32% | 2025-11-08 | | Won |
| 850 | 1197 | 12% | 2021-06-28 | | Won |
| 1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2021-06-10 | | Won |
| 1159 | 827 | 87% | 2021-03-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1139 | 31% | 2019-08-25 | | Lost |
| 938 | 1162 | 22% | 2018-10-30 | | Lost |
| 938 | 1025 | 38% | 2018-10-29 | | Lost |
| 893 | 947 | 42% | 2018-07-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1130 | 32% | 2018-04-28 | | Won |
| 938 | 1212 | 17% | 2018-04-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1111 | 35% | 2018-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1329 | 1067 | 82% | 2017-12-30 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1007.8 vs 1078.9 has a 39.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).